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Beige Book Informs Us What We Currently Learn About Economy
Varying economic conditions across the United States are detailed eight times a year by the Federal Reserve within the Beige Book. Beige Book data is gathered by each Federal Reserve bank in the respective district. The Beige Book released Thursday had little positive to say, except that economic growth, although dismal, had stopped slowing down.
Fed guesses range from Beige Book
Before the Fed governors meeting, the latest Beige Book came out. Nov 2-3 will be when this meeting happens. The Fed meeting will probably be reviewing the economic climate. Solutions to stimulate the economic climate will be reviewed too. The Washington Post accounts that such a stimulus is desperately needed, based on Beige Book data. The Oct Beige Book talks all regarding the reasons why pumping cash to the economy and getting huge bonds as Fed governors are hinting at would be the best idea. It talks about the weak job market, poor economic growth and threat of deflation in order to do this.
Beige Book bright areas
The Fed's Beige Book tells a tired old story, however Gail Marks Jarvis at the Chicago Tribune reports on a couple of patches of blue in the dark overcast. Last spring, the Beige Book had a different opinion. It talked regarding the "widespread signs of declaration" within the economy. The October Beige Book info wasn't all negative. Some improvements were shown too. Bright spots highlighted by Jarvis consist of a continued expansion of manufacturing, new factory orders for lots of industries and a slight boost in consumer spending.
How the Beige Book affects the stock industry
Seven of the 12 Fed regions showed an improvement economically based on the Fed's Beige Book. The rest of the regions appear to be questioned. If they aren't questioned, then likely they went down. ABC News reports that traders see the Beige Book as a sign the Fed will is about to dive into the bond sector. In the last month traders are buying bonds to get higher Treasury yields. After the November meeting, the Fed is expected to start getting more Treasury's which would make bond yields go down a bit. Spending and investment could be stimulated if the long term rates of interest are pushed even lower which is the plan of the Fed.
Articles cited
Washington Post
washingtonpost.com/wp-dyn/content/article/2010/10/20/AR2010102005512.html?sub=AR
Chicago Tribune
newsblogs.chicagotribune.com/marksjarvis_on_money/2010/10/fed-reports-glimmers-of-sunshine-in-economy.html
ABC News
abcnews.go.com/Business/wireStory?id=11929195
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